1 in 5 2020 Voters Admit to at Least 1 kind of Voter Fraud
Feb 13, 2024 14:50:55 GMT
icemandios likes this
Post by lookingforatenbagger on Feb 13, 2024 14:50:55 GMT
Heartland/Rasmussen Poll: One-in-Five Mail-In Voters Admit to Committing at Least One Kind of Voter Fraud During 2020 Election
My God, not another election denyer! No, I don't think the election should be overturned, but let's start with the premise the loose rules and low accountability allowed fraud to be widespread and it can not be quantified sufficiently for the courts to act. Let's look to 2020 to inform 2024:
Rasmussen polled Americans who freely admitted to the following:
17% of mail-in voters admit that in 2020 they voted in a state where they are “no longer a permanent resident”
21% of mail-in voters admitted that they filled out a ballot for a friend or family member
17% of mail-in voters said they signed a ballot for a friend or family member “with or without his or her permission”
8% of likely voters say they were offered “pay” or a “reward” for voting in 2020
heartland.org/opinion/heartland-rasmussen-poll-one-in-five-mail-in-voters-admit-to-committing-at-least-one-kind-of-voter-fraud-during-2020-election/
So what's the big deal. Technically these ballots should have been thrown out, but how many misrepresented the wishes of the voter? It is unknowable. The Heartland Institute, a hard right institute, made an attempt at it:
Who Really Won the 2020 Election?
Measuring the Effect of Mail-in Ballot Fraud in the Trump-Biden Race for the White House
"After analyzing the raw survey data, we were also able to conclude that 28.2 percent of respondents who voted by mail admitted to committing at least one kind of voter fraud. This means that more than one-in-four ballots cast by mail in 2020 were likely cast fraudulently, and thus should not have been counted.
Because Joe Biden received significantly more mail in votes than Donald Trump, we conclude that the 2020 election outcome would have been different in the key swing states that Donald Trump lost by razor thin margins in 2020—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin— under the 28.2 percent scenario. We also analyzed the electoral results for those six swing states under every integer from 27 percent fraud down to 1 percent fraud, allowing readers to see the impact that fraudulent mail-in ballots might have produced under each scenario."
Of course 28% is a huge number and hard to justify. So they made assumptions and ran different scenarios:
28.2 percent fraud: Trump wins Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Trump wins the Electoral College 311-227.
27 percent fraud through 14 percent: the overall results are identical to the 28.2 percent fraud scenario Trump wins the Electoral College 311-227.(though Trump’s margin of victory in each state shrinks as the overall mail-in ballot fraud integer shrinks).
13 percent fraud through 6 percent fraud: Trump wins Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, but loses to Biden in Michigan and Nevada. Trump wins the Electoral College 289-249.
5 percent fraud and 4 percent fraud: Trump wins Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, but loses to Biden in Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. Trump and Biden tie the Electoral College 269-269. Trump would likely have won the resulting vote in the House of Representatives, because Republicans controlled more state delegations in the wake of the 2020 election.
3 percent fraud: Trump wins Arizona and Georgia, but loses to Biden in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Biden wins the Electoral College 279-259.
2 percent fraud and 1 percent fraud: Trump does not win any states. Biden wins Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Biden wins the Electoral College 306-232.
In order for one to believe Biden won the 2020 election one needs to believe of the 28% of voters polled only 1/10 of the those ballots were actually fraudulent.
heartland.org/publications/who-really-won-the-2020-election-measuring-the-effect-of-mail-in-ballot-fraud-in-the-trump-biden-race-for-the-white-house/
So why does this matter?
"The paper concludes with a list of commonsense policy recommendations states should establish to improve or maintain election integrity.
Proactive policies
States should update and verify election registration rolls annually.
States should require identification to vote in person.
States should encourage in-person voting.
States should require a witness or notary signature on all mail-in ballots.
States should minimize mail-in voting by requiring a valid excuse to cast a ballot by mail.
Preventative policies
States should outlaw ballot harvesting.
States should forbid unattended and unsecure election drop boxes.
States should require signature verification for mail-in voting.
States should establish agencies to investigate claims of election law violations.
States and/or the federal government should pass laws that impose harsh penalties for those who commit voter fraud.
My God, not another election denyer! No, I don't think the election should be overturned, but let's start with the premise the loose rules and low accountability allowed fraud to be widespread and it can not be quantified sufficiently for the courts to act. Let's look to 2020 to inform 2024:
Rasmussen polled Americans who freely admitted to the following:
17% of mail-in voters admit that in 2020 they voted in a state where they are “no longer a permanent resident”
21% of mail-in voters admitted that they filled out a ballot for a friend or family member
17% of mail-in voters said they signed a ballot for a friend or family member “with or without his or her permission”
8% of likely voters say they were offered “pay” or a “reward” for voting in 2020
heartland.org/opinion/heartland-rasmussen-poll-one-in-five-mail-in-voters-admit-to-committing-at-least-one-kind-of-voter-fraud-during-2020-election/
So what's the big deal. Technically these ballots should have been thrown out, but how many misrepresented the wishes of the voter? It is unknowable. The Heartland Institute, a hard right institute, made an attempt at it:
Who Really Won the 2020 Election?
Measuring the Effect of Mail-in Ballot Fraud in the Trump-Biden Race for the White House
"After analyzing the raw survey data, we were also able to conclude that 28.2 percent of respondents who voted by mail admitted to committing at least one kind of voter fraud. This means that more than one-in-four ballots cast by mail in 2020 were likely cast fraudulently, and thus should not have been counted.
Because Joe Biden received significantly more mail in votes than Donald Trump, we conclude that the 2020 election outcome would have been different in the key swing states that Donald Trump lost by razor thin margins in 2020—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin— under the 28.2 percent scenario. We also analyzed the electoral results for those six swing states under every integer from 27 percent fraud down to 1 percent fraud, allowing readers to see the impact that fraudulent mail-in ballots might have produced under each scenario."
Of course 28% is a huge number and hard to justify. So they made assumptions and ran different scenarios:
28.2 percent fraud: Trump wins Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Trump wins the Electoral College 311-227.
27 percent fraud through 14 percent: the overall results are identical to the 28.2 percent fraud scenario Trump wins the Electoral College 311-227.(though Trump’s margin of victory in each state shrinks as the overall mail-in ballot fraud integer shrinks).
13 percent fraud through 6 percent fraud: Trump wins Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, but loses to Biden in Michigan and Nevada. Trump wins the Electoral College 289-249.
5 percent fraud and 4 percent fraud: Trump wins Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, but loses to Biden in Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. Trump and Biden tie the Electoral College 269-269. Trump would likely have won the resulting vote in the House of Representatives, because Republicans controlled more state delegations in the wake of the 2020 election.
3 percent fraud: Trump wins Arizona and Georgia, but loses to Biden in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Biden wins the Electoral College 279-259.
2 percent fraud and 1 percent fraud: Trump does not win any states. Biden wins Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Biden wins the Electoral College 306-232.
In order for one to believe Biden won the 2020 election one needs to believe of the 28% of voters polled only 1/10 of the those ballots were actually fraudulent.
heartland.org/publications/who-really-won-the-2020-election-measuring-the-effect-of-mail-in-ballot-fraud-in-the-trump-biden-race-for-the-white-house/
So why does this matter?
"The paper concludes with a list of commonsense policy recommendations states should establish to improve or maintain election integrity.
Proactive policies
States should update and verify election registration rolls annually.
States should require identification to vote in person.
States should encourage in-person voting.
States should require a witness or notary signature on all mail-in ballots.
States should minimize mail-in voting by requiring a valid excuse to cast a ballot by mail.
Preventative policies
States should outlaw ballot harvesting.
States should forbid unattended and unsecure election drop boxes.
States should require signature verification for mail-in voting.
States should establish agencies to investigate claims of election law violations.
States and/or the federal government should pass laws that impose harsh penalties for those who commit voter fraud.